What
is a Point Estimate
In simple terms, any statistic
can be a point estimate. A statistic is an estimator
of some parameter in a population. For example:
- The sample standard deviation (s) is a point estimate of the population standard deviation (σ).
- The sample mean (̄x) is a point estimate of the population mean, μ
- The sample variance (s2 is a point estimate of the population variance (σ2)
Finding
the Estimates
Four of the most common ways to find
an estimate:
- The Method of Moments: is based on the law of large numbers and uses relatively simple equations to find point estimates. Is often not too accurate and has a tendency to be biased. More info.
- Maximum Likelihood: uses a model (for example, the normal distribution) and uses the values in the model to maximize a likelihood function. This results in the most likely parameter for the inputs selected. More info.
- Bayes Estimators: minimize the average risk (an expectation of random variables). More info.
- Best Unbiased Estimators: several unbiased estimators can be used to approximate a parameter. Which one is “best” depends on what parameter you are trying to find. For example, with variance, the estimator with the smallest variance is “best”
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